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Hap’s fearless Tony predictions

June 8, 2025 By Hap Erstein

The cast of Boop!, which Hap thinks will win awards for Costume Design and Choreography at tonight’s Tony Awards. (Photo by Matthew Murphy and Evan Zimmerman)

It was a good season for quantity of productions. Not so much for quality. But there were a few standout shows (Maybe Happy Ending, Purpose, Yellow Face), some nail-biter head-on clashes (Audra McDonald vs. Nicole Scherzimger) and complete toss-ups (We’re looking at you, design categories).

So, the chances are I will get a lot of these wrong, but here are my picks to win this evening at the Tonys. Please don’t rub it in Monday morning.

Play — Purpose
Musical — Maybe Happy Ending
Revival, Play — Yellow Face
Revival, Musical — Sunset Boulevard
Book, Musical — Maybe Happy Ending
Original Score — Dead Outlaw
Leading Actor, Play — George Clooney, Good Night and Good Luck
Leading Actress, Play — Sarah Snook, The Picture of Dorian Gray
Leading Actor, Musical — Darren Criss, Maybe Happy Ending
Leading Actress, Musical — Audra McDonald, Gypsy
Featured Actor, Play — Bob Odenkirk, Glengarry Glen Ross
Featured Actress, Play —Kara Young, Purpose
Featured Actor, Musical — Danny Burstein, Gypsy
Featured Actress, Musical — Natalia Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club
Scenic Design, Play — The Hills of California
Scenic Design, Musical — Maybe Happy Ending
Costume Design, Play — The Picture of Dorian Gray
Costume Design, Musical — Boop!
Lighting Design, Play — Stranger Things: The First Shadow
Lighting Design, Musical — Sunset Boulevard
Sound Design, Play — Good Night, and Good Luck
Sound Design, Musical — Buena Vista Social Club
Direction, Play — Sam Mendes, The Hills of California
Direction, Musical — Michael Arden, Maybe Happy Ending
Choreography — Boop!
Orchestrations — Buena Vista Social Club

What’s that, I hear you say? Nothing for Oh, Mary!? That could be where I get a lot of my predictions wrong if Cole Escola and company have a big night, but I can’t bring myself to give that show any acclaim. Sorry.

Filed Under: Theater Tagged With: Audra McDonald, tony awards

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